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BABA vs. JD

  • Ozkan Ozkaynak
  • Sep 14, 2024
  • 2 min read

Alibaba (BABA) and JD.com (JD)`s key financial ratios, including forward-looking ratios where available:

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  • Forward P/E and Forward P/S Ratios: These ratios are based on projected earnings and sales for the next 12 months.

  • Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B Forward): Reflects the anticipated value in the upcoming year, based on forecasted book values.

Alibaba shows stronger profitability and cash flow metrics, while JD.com operates at thinner margins but with a lower valuation in terms of sales. Forward-looking estimates favor Alibaba as the more profitable stock with better growth prospects.

Here’s the Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) for both Alibaba (BABA) and JD.com (JD), which is a key indicator of how efficiently each company is using its capital to generate profits.

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  • Alibaba (BABA) has a higher ROIC both on a trailing and forward basis, indicating it's more efficient at turning capital into profit.

  • JD.com (JD) is slightly lower but shows improvement in its forward estimate.


1. Profitability and Efficiency

  • Alibaba (BABA): Higher gross profit margins, operating margins, ROIC, and ROE indicate that Alibaba is more profitable and efficient at using capital. Its higher free cash flow yield makes it a strong option for growth and stability.

  • JD.com (JD): Operates on thinner margins, but its price ratios (P/S and P/B) are more attractive, suggesting it may be undervalued. It’s improving on metrics like ROIC and may have growth potential, though it’s not as profitable as Alibaba.

2. Growth Potential

  • Alibaba has a broader business model with exposure to e-commerce, cloud computing, and digital payments (Ant Group), offering diversified growth prospects. However, recent regulatory pressures in China have impacted its valuation and growth trajectory.

  • JD.com has a narrower focus on logistics and e-commerce, but it has a more stable and faster-growing retail business, particularly in lower-tier Chinese cities. It also faces fewer regulatory challenges compared to Alibaba.

3. Valuation

  • JD.com trades at lower price multiples (P/S, P/B), which might appeal to value investors looking for a stock that is undervalued relative to its peers.

  • Alibaba has more attractive forward ratios, particularly a low forward P/E, which makes it appealing for growth investors.

4. Risk Factors

  • Alibaba faces higher regulatory scrutiny in China, particularly regarding its monopolistic behavior and the halting of Ant Group’s IPO. While it’s diversified, the regulatory landscape remains a key risk.

  • JD.com is less exposed to regulatory risks but operates with thinner margins, meaning it could be more sensitive to competitive pressures.

Recommendation Based on Profiles:

  • If you prefer a high-growth company with strong profitability and diverse revenue streams, Alibaba (BABA) may be a better option. Its current valuation is attractive for long-term growth, despite regulatory headwinds.

  • If you are looking for a value play with more stability and less regulatory risk but with thinner profit margins, JD.com (JD) might be more suitable. It’s priced attractively but offers lower profitability.


  • In Conclusion:

    Alibaba has higher potential for upside growth but comes with more regulatory risk. JD.com is a safer choice with steady growth prospects but may not offer the same profitability boost. My Pick: BABA at current levels.

 
 
 

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